College football week 11 picks

Movie quote of the day:

“What is this, a center for ants?”

– Derek Zoolander, “Zoolander” (2001)

Week 10 record: 11-1 (91.7 percent)
2018 record: 79-41 (65.8 percent)
All-time record: 429-206 (67.5 percent)

Saturday:

Ohio State Buckeyes running back J.K. Dobbins (2) celebrates his touchdown during the fourth quarter against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

No. 10 Ohio State (8-1) at No. 18 Michigan State (6-3)
Spartan Stadium
East Lansing, Mich.
Line: OSU -3.5
O/U: 48.5

I’m not really sure what to make of this game. Ohio State is really struggling, but I’m not sure I can trust Michigan State to pull off the upset. I don’t think the Spartans are good enough offensively to win this game. I’m not overly confident in it, but I think the Buckeyes win a close one.

Prediction: Ohio State 27, Michigan State 26

Florida Gators quarterback Feleipe Franks (13) is congratulated as he scores a touchdown against the Missouri Tigers during the second quarter at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

South Carolina (5-3) at No. 15 Florida (6-3)
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Gainesville, Fla.
Line: FLA -6
O/U: 54

Even though I’m not sold on Florida, I don’t think South Carolina can win this game. Florida has one of the better defenses in the country and I can’t trust the Gamecocks’ offense to go down to a hostile environment and get the win. I also don’t think Will Muschamp will be able to outcoach Dan Mullen.

Prediction: Florida 31, South Carolina 23

Penn State Nittany Lions head coach James Franklin during the first half against the Michigan Wolverines at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Wisconsin (6-3) at No. 20 Penn State (6-3)
Beaver Stadium
University Park, Pa.
Line: PSU -9
O/U: 53.5

I really want to take Wisconsin, but I’m not able to pull the trigger. The Badgers are banged up offensively and might even start their backup quarterback. Their ought to be able to keep them in the game by limiting Penn State’s offense. At the end of the day, I think Trace McSorley will make some plays and be the difference maker.

Prediction: Penn State 27, Wisconsin 20

Alabama Crimson Tide defensive lineman Quinnen Williams (92) celebrates his sack on LSU Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow (9) during the third quarter at Tiger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

No. 16 Mississippi State (6-3) at No. 1 Alabama (9-0)
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Tuscaloosa, Ala.
Line: ALA -24
O/U: 52

Mississippi State has been too inconsistent this season. So I can’t bring myself to pick the Bulldogs to pull off a massive upset. Nick Fitzgerald might be able to make some plays against Alabama’s defense. However, the Crimson Tide are just too talented and ought to handle the Bulldogs.

Prediction: Alabama 48, Mississippi State 20

Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Kyler Murray (1) leaps into the end zone against the Texas Tech Red Raiders at Jones AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Oklahoma State (5-4) at No. 6 Oklahoma (8-1)
Memorial Stadium
Norman, Okla.
Line: OKLA -21
O/U: 80.5

It’s usually always entertaining when these two teams get together for Bedlam. I’m a little surprised with the spread in this game, though. I don’t think Oklahoma State’s offense is very good, but I don’t trust Oklahoma’s defense to get stops. The Cowboys should be able to keep this game fairly close, but in the end I think the Sooners will emerge victorious.

Prediction: Oklahoma 55, Oklahoma State 45

Washington State Cougars wide receiver Davontavean Martin (1) catches the football during a game against the California Golden Bears in the first half at Martin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

No. 8 Washington State (8-1) at Colorado (5-4)
Folsom Field
Boulder, Colo.
Line: WSU -6
O/U: 61.5

I got half a mind to pick Colorado in this matchup. I don’t think Washington State is that good and the Cougars are coming off a lackadaisical, emotional performance last week. It’s hard to tell what will happen to a team the week after a game like that. I don’t think Colorado is very good, though. The Buffaloes have lost four games in a row and I just don’t think they have the horses to match Washington State.

Prediction: Washington State 34, Colorado 24

Iowa Hawkeyes quarterback Nate Stanley (4) sets up a play in the huddle at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sandra Dukes-USA TODAY Sports

Northwestern (5-4) at No. 21 Iowa (6-3)
Kinnick Stadium
Iowa City, Iowa
Line: IOWA -10.5
O/U: 42.5

Iowa has lost its last two games by a combined eight points. I think the Hawkeyes are desperately looking to get back on track and I think this is the week to do it. Northwestern has been a little too inconsistent this season. I’m not sure I trust the Wildcats to go on the road and score points on one of the nation’s best defenses.

Prediction: Iowa 24, Northwestern 17

Iowa State Cyclones quarterback Brock Purdy (15) throws a pass against the Kansas Jayhawks in the first half at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Baylor (5-4) at No. 22 Iowa State (5-3)
Jack Trice Stadium
Ames, Iowa
Line: ISU -17
O/U: 51

Iowa State has been a totally different team since switching to Brock Purdy at quarterback. The Cyclones are moving the ball and look like a legitimate Big 12 contender. I’m not sure Baylor has much of a chance. The Bears have one of the worst defenses in the conference – ranking No. 104 in scoring defense. I think Brock Purdy and David Montgomery have huge games and Iowa State rolls to another win.

Prediction: Iowa State 41, Baylor 20

Utah Utes running back Zack Moss (2) celebrates his touchdown with Utah Utes tight end Brant Kuithe (80) against the Arizona State Sun Devils during the first half at Sun Devil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon (6-3) at Utah (6-3)
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Salt Lake City
Line: UTAH -3
O/U: N/A

I think I’m going to go Oregon here because the Ducks have the quarterback advantage in Justin Herbert. Oregon also has a decent defense that I think is good enough to slow down Utah’s offense – which only ranks No. 58 in the country. I don’t trust the Utes’ offense so I’m going with Oregon.

Prediction: Oregon 31, Utah 27

Georgia Bulldogs running back D’Andre Swift (7) runs the ball against the Kentucky Wildcats in the first half at Kroger Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports

No. 24 Auburn (6-3) at No. 5 Georgia (8-1)
Sanford Stadium
Athens, Ga.
Line: UGA -14
O/U: 52.5

Auburn finally got right against Texas A&M last week, but I’m not sure it’ll be enough to win this game. Georgia is just too good defensively. I think the Bulldogs’ defense are going to exploit Auburn’s offensive line – which has significantly struggled this season. I think Jarrett Stidham is going to have a hard time making plays and Georgia rolls to a comfortable win.

Prediction: Georgia 31, Auburn 16

Texas Longhorns running back Tre Watson (5) runs the ball during the second quarter against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bethany Hocker-USA TODAY Sports

No. 19 Texas (6-3) at Texas Tech (5-4)
Jones AT&T Stadium
Lubbock, Texas
Line: TEX -1.5
O/U: 62

I’m a little surprised Texas isn’t more of a favorite in this one. I know the Longhorns are really banged up on defense, but I still think they’re good enough on that side of the ball to win this game. Texas Tech has zero defense so Sam Ehlinger and Texas’ offense should have a big game. This will likely be another track meet. I mentioned it last week, but if that’s the case I don’t think that’ll favor the Red Raiders.

Prediction: Texas 48, Texas Tech 45

Game of the week:

Clemson Tigers safety Isaiah Simmons (11) returns an interception for a touchdown during the first half against the Louisville Cardinals at Clemson Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

No. 2 Clemson (9-0) at No. 17 Boston College (7-2)
Alumni Stadium
Chestnut Hill, Mass.
Line: CLEM -19.5
O/U: 55.5

I think Clemson might have its hands full this week. Boston College is now slouch. The Eagles have a competent offense and a very good defense – each of which I could see giving the Tigers some trouble. However, Clemson has the better coach and way more talent. I think this game is close at first, but the Tigers pull away in the second half.

Prediction: Clemson 34, Boston College 23

Thanks for reading

Shane Price
Follow me on Twitter – @priceisright53

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