NFL week 10 picks

Movie quote of the day:

“We got us a German here who wants to die for country. Oblige him!”

– Lt. Aldo Raine, “Inglourious Basterds” (2009)

Here are the matchups for week 10:

Week nine record: 11-2 (84.6 percent)
2016 record: 76-55-2 (57.9 percent)
All-time record: 228-160-2 (58.7 percent)

Tonight:

Cleveland QB Cody Kessler.
Cleveland QB Cody Kessler.

Cleveland Browns (0-9) at Baltimore Ravens (4-4)
M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore
Line: BAL -7.5

I thought Cleveland would get its first win of the season last week against the Jets, but the Browns came up short. If they can’t beat the Jets at home, I’m not sure they can beat the Ravens on the road. Baltimore has a tough defense, and I think Cleveland’s offense will struggle to move the ball and score points.

Prediction: Ravens 26, Browns 17

Sunday:

Green Bay WR Jordy Nelson.
Green Bay WR Jordy Nelson.

Green Bay Packers (4-4) at Tennessee Titans (4-5)
Nissan Stadium
Nashville, Tenn.
Line: GB -2.5

This will be a tough game for the Packers. Green Bay’s offense is back to struggling and is depleted on defense. The Titans have been surging team in recent weeks and are underrated. It’s tough to win on the road in NFL and I think Tennessee gets it done at home.

Prediction: Titans 27, Packers 23

Washington QB Kirk Cousins.
Washington QB Kirk Cousins.

Minnesota Vikings (5-3) at Washington Redskins (4-3-1)
FedEx Field
Landover, Md.
Line: WAS -2.5

Minnesota is a mess right now, and I don’t wanna gloat, but I kinda saw this coming. The Vikings have been relying too much on their defense and their offense isn’t good enough to win games. Washington is coming off a bye week and has had extra time to prepare. I think Minnesota’s struggles continue.

Prediction: Redskins 24, Vikings 19

Tampa Bay WR Mike Evans.
Tampa Bay WR Mike Evans.

Chicago Bears (2-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5)
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, Fla.
Line: CHI -2

Tamp Bay isn’t the team that most fans expected this season. The Buccaneers have lost two games in a row and now has to face a Chicago team that is coming off an impressive performance over Minnesota and a bye week. Las Vegas likes the Bears in this game, and I have to agree because the Bears are starting to get healthy and have had more time to prepare.

Prediction: Bears 21, Buccaneers 20

Carolina QB Cam Newton.
Carolina QB Cam Newton.

Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) at Carolina Panthers (3-5)
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte, N. C.
Line: CAR -3

I’m looking forward to this game because both teams are playing well recently. Carolina is starting to get healthy and find its groove – and Kansas City has won 16 of its last 18 games dating back to last year. This is a long road trip for the Chiefs and I think that affects their play. I think Cam Newton is too much for Kansas City’s defense and the Panthers win their third win in a row.

Prediction: Panthers 24, Chiefs 21

Atlanta RB Devonta Freeman.
Atlanta RB Devonta Freeman.

Atlanta Falcons (6-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-4)
Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia
Line: ATL -2

I want to pick Philadelphia, but the Eagles aren’t playing well – losers of four of their last five games. Carson Wentz has struggled too which has caused the Eagles’ offense to stumble. In fact, Philadelphia hasn’t scored more than 23 points since its game against Pittsburgh in week three. Atlanta is on a roll and I think the Falcons’ offense will be able to move the ball on Philadelphia’s defense just enough to win.

Prediction: Falcons 27, Eagles 22

Los Angeles QB Case Keenum.
Los Angeles QB Case Keenum.

Los Angeles Rams (3-5) at New York Jets (3-6)
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, N. J.
Line: NYJ -1.5

I think it’s time to see what Jared Goff can do in Los Angeles. Case Keenum isn’t working out and the Rams have lost four games in a row. It’s a long road trip for Los Angeles and West Coast teams don’t usually play well for early kickoffs on the East Coast. I think Jets’ defense will slow down the Rams’ offense and prevent them from scoring points.

Prediction: Jets 19, Rams 14

Denver OLB Von Miller.
Denver OLB Von Miller.

Denver Broncos (6-3) at New Orleans Saints (4-4)
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans
Line: NO -3

I’m going with an upset with this pick because I think we’re going to start seeing Denver’s decline. Scoring on Denver’s defense is always tough, but the Saints have a good enough offense to score just enough to win. The Superdome is always a tough place to play. I think Saints get it done at home.

Prediction: Saints 24, Broncos 23

Houston OLB Jadeveon Clowney.
Houston OLB Jadeveon Clowney.

Houston Texans (5-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6)
EverBank Stadium
Jacksonville, Fla.
Line: JAC -2

It’s tough to pick Jacksonville for this game. The Jaguars have lost three games in a row and Blake Bortles has been terrible during that stretch. I know Jacksonville is at home, but Houston has the better coach and defense – both things help make traveling easier. Plus, the Texans are coming off a bye and have had extra time to prepare.

Prediction: Texans 31, Jaguars 24

San Diego QB Philip Rivers.
San Diego QB Philip Rivers.

Miami Dolphins (4-4) at San Diego Chargers (4-5)
Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego
Line: SD -4

It’s hard to pick against Miami right now. The Dolphins have won three games in a row and have looked impressive doing it. However, all games were at home and against teams with a combined record of 11-15. This is a long road trip for Miami, and I think Philip Rivers picks apart Miami’s secondary – which ranks No. 17 in yards per attempt.

Prediction: Chargers 30, Dolphins 21

Dallas QB Dak Prescott.
Dallas QB Dak Prescott.

Dallas Cowboys (7-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-4)
Heinz Field
Pittsburgh
Line: PIT -2.5

This is going to be a much tougher game than football fans probably think. Pittsburgh is better than its record would indicate. I think Dallas’ defense will struggle to slow down the Steelers’ offense – and the home crowd should be loud and help Pittsburgh’s defense get enough stops to win.

Prediction: Steelers 31, Cowboys 28

San Francisco QB Colin Kaepernick.
San Francisco QB Colin Kaepernick.

San Francisco 49ers (1-7) at Arizona Cardinals (3-4-1)
U of Phoenix Stadium
Glendale, Ariz.
Line: ARI -13.5

I’m not sure I can see San Francisco win this game. The 49ers are awful and one of the worst teams in the league. Arizona has been playing better recently and is coming off a bye. I just don’t think Colin Kaepernick can go on the road and outscore Arizona’s offense. I expect David Johnson to have a huge game and the Cardinals to get the win.

Prediction: Cardinals 34, 49ers 19

Monday:

New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr.
New York Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr.

Cincinnati Bengals (3-4-1) at New York Giants (5-3)
Metlife Stadium
East Rutherford, N. J.
Line: Even

This is a tough game to predict. Both teams are about even, but I’m going to go with the Giants. The Giants’ offense is really good and Cincinnati’s defense ranks in the bottom half of the league in scoring. MetLife Stadium is a tough place to play and I don’t think the Bengals are good enough to go on the road and slow down the Giants’ offense and get a win.

Prediction: Giants 26, Bengals 21

Game of the week:

New England QB Tom Brady.
New England QB Tom Brady.

Seattle Seahawks (5-2-1) at New England Patriots (7-1)
Gillette Stadium
Foxboro, Mass.
Line: NE -7.5

New England finally gets to play a team with a winning record since week three. However, I don’t think Seattle is that good. Russell Wilson has been banged up and his offensive line is horrible. Seattle’s defense isn’t nearly as good on the road as it is at home. New England is coming off a bye and I think Tom Brady and the Patriots’ offense will move the ball on the Seahawks’ defense.

Prediction: Patriots 27, Seahawks 20

Teams on a bye:
Buffalo Bills
Detroit Lions
Indianapolis Colts
Oakland Raiders

Thanks for reading

Shane Price
Follow me on Twitter – @priceisright53

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