College football week 10 picks

(No movie quote of the day since there will be two posts today)

Week nine record: 9-3 (75 percent)
2016 record: 79-29 (73.1 percent)
All-time record: 189-93 (67 percent)

Tonight:

Colorado head coach Mike MacIntyre.
Colorado head coach Mike MacIntyre.

UCLA (3-5) at No. 15 Colorado (6-2)
Folsom Field
Boulder, Colo.
Line: COLO -13.5

With Josh Rosen likely out for the season, I think UCLA is in “coast mode” and looking to just get through the season and look forward to next year. On the other side, Colorado is fighting for a chance to win the Pac-12 South division. I think the Buffaloes are the better team right now, and I expect them to be prepared for this game.

Prediction: Colorado 27, UCLA 16

Saturday:

Pitt RB James Conner.
Pitt RB James Conner.

Pitt (5-3) at Miami (4-4)
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami
Line: MIA -3

Miami’s season is starting to slip – having lost four games in a row. One of the main reasons the Hurricanes have struggled is because of the offensive line play. Brad Kaaya has been sacked 18 times and the rushing attack has sputtered – 261 yards on 128 attempts – during this losing streak. I think sack monster Ejuan Price will be too much for Miami’s offensive line. I think Pitt gets the win on the road.

Prediction: Pitt 24, Miami 20

Boston College head coach Steve Addazio.
Boston College head coach Steve Addazio.

No. 7 Louisville (7-1) at Boston College (4-4)
Alumni Stadium
Chestnut Hill, Mass.
Line: LOU -25

This could be a sneaky game for Louisville. It’s a long road trip for the Cardinals, and Boston College has a pretty good defense that could slow down Lamar Jackson. However, I don’t see an upset happening because Boston College’s offense is horrible – ranking No. 115 in scoring. I think the Eagles keep it within the spread, but I think Louisville will emerge victorious.

Prediction: Louisville 34, Boston College 17

Texas Tech QB Patrick Mahomes.
Texas Tech QB Patrick Mahomes.

Texas (4-4) at Texas Tech (4-4)
Jones AT&T Stadium
Lubbock, Texas
Line: TEX -3.5

Texas is coming off an emotional win over Baylor, and now the Longhorns have to go on the road and face an underrated Texas Tech squad. I have a feeling Texas comes out flat for this game. The Red Raiders are playing well and I don’t think Texas has the defense to slow down Patrick Mahomes. I think Texas Tech wins in a shootout

Prediction: Texas Tech 50, Texas 49

Wisconsin head coach Paul Chryst.
Wisconsin head coach Paul Chryst.

No. 8 Wisconsin (6-2) at Northwestern (4-4)
Ryan Field
Evanston, Ill.
Line: WIS -7

Here’s another sneaky game for a top-10 team. Wisconsin is the best two-loss team in the country, but Northwestern is playing well right now – winning three out of its last four games and nearly defeating Ohio State on the road last week. Pat Fitzgerald’s squad has got the best of the Badgers the last two years – holding Wisconsin to a combined 21 points offensively. I really like Fitzgerald as a head coach and think that the Wildcats find a way to pull off the upset in a low-scoring game.

Prediction: Northwestern 19, Wisconsin 14

North Carolina head coach Larry Fedora.
North Carolina head coach Larry Fedora.

Georgia Tech (5-3) at No. 21 North Carolina (6-2)
Kenan Stadium
Chapel Hill, N. C.
Line: UNC -10.5

I think North Carolina has too much to play for to lose this game. The Tar Heels are in the hunt to win the ACC Coastal division, and still alive for a New Year’s Six bowl. UNC has more talent than Georgia Tech and has had an extra week to prepare. I think Larry Fedora will have his team ready.

Prediction: North Carolina 30, Georgia Tech 21

Oklahoma State QB Mason Rudolph.
Oklahoma State QB Mason Rudolph.

No. 18 Oklahoma State (6-2) at Kansas State (5-3)
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Manhattan, Kan.
Line: KSU -2.5

After a slow start, I think Oklahoma State is starting to find its rhythm. Mason Rudolph is playing at a high level, the run game is coming along ever since Justice Hill took over as the starting running back, and the Cowboys’ defense is getting better. Kansas State has the defense to slow down Oklahoma State’s offense, but the Wildcats don’t have the offense to outscore the Cowboys. Oklahoma State is playing really well right now and it’s hard to pick against them.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 30, Kansas State 24

Arkansas QB Austin Allen.
Arkansas QB Austin Allen.

No. 11 Florida (6-1) at Arkansas (5-3)
Razorback Stadium
Fayetteville, Ark.
Line: FLA -4

The problem for Arkansas this season has been its defense. The Razorbacks have given up 2,715 total yards and 211 points in five games against Power Five teams. However, now they get to play an awful Florida offense that can’t do anything right. Even though the Gators are very good on defense, they haven’t played a quarterback as good as Austin Allen all season. I don’t think Florida is that good and I think Arkansas pulls off the upset.

Prediction: Arkansas 23, Florida 20

Penn State RB Saquan Barkley.
Penn State RB Saquon Barkley.

Iowa (5-3) at No. 12 Penn State (6-2)
Beaver Stadium
University Park, Pa.
Line: PSU -7

I think Penn State is incredibly overrated, and I’m smelling an upset. Iowa has a really good defense and the Hawkeyes haven’t lost a road game in almost two years. Plus, Iowa likes to run the ball and Penn State has a horrible run defense. Penn State’s offense has been playing better in recent weeks, but it has a track record of sputtering when facing really good defenses – scoring just 27 combined points against Michigan and Ohio State. For some reason I think Iowa gets it done on the road and upsets the Nittany Lions.

Prediction: Iowa 21, Penn State 20

Kentucky RB Stanley "Boom" Williams.
Kentucky RB Stanley “Boom” Williams.

Georgia (4-4) at Kentucky (5-3)
Commonwealth Stadium
Lexington, Ky.
Line: UGA -2

Kentucky has won five of its last six games and, believe it or not, Kentucky has a legit chance of winning the SEC East division. I think the Wildcats will be ready to play this game with a berth to the SEC championship in their sights. Georgia has been awful recently – losing four of its last five games. It’s hard for me to pick the Bulldogs right now because of how bad they’ve looked in their last five games.

Prediction: Kentucky 21, Georgia 18

Nebraska QB Tommy Armstrong Jr.
Nebraska QB Tommy Armstrong Jr.

No. 10 Nebraska (7-1) at No. 6 Ohio State (7-1)
Ohio Stadium
Columbus, Ohio
Line: OSU -17

Ohio State has not been good recently. J. T. Barrett is struggling throwing the ball downfield and the Buckeyes’ offense has been stagnant. However, I don’t think Nebraska is that good and the Cornhuskers don’t match up well with Ohio State. I think Tommy Armstrong will struggle to move the ball on the road against a really good Ohio State defense. I think the Buckeyes win, but Nebraska will keep it within the spread.

Prediction: Ohio State 27, Nebraska 17

Game of the week:

Alabama QB Jalen Hurts.
Alabama QB Jalen Hurts.

No. 1 Alabama (8-0) at No. 13 LSU (5-2)
Tiger Stadium
Baton Rouge, La.
Line: BAMA -7.5

I saw something today that said that the last time there were two ties in a NFL season and the Cleveland Indians lost the World Series in seven games, LSU knocked off the No. 1 team in the country. That’s something to keep an eye on, but I don’t think it’ll happen. In order to beat Alabama, teams have to have a good quarterback and run a non-pro style offense. LSU doesn’t have either, even though Danny Etling is playing pretty well. I think the Tigers keep it close, but I think the Crimson Tide remain undefeated.

Prediction: Alabama 23, LSU 17

Thanks for reading

Shane Price
Follow me on Twitter – @priceisright53

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