(No movie quote of the day since there will be two posts today)
Quick note: Last week was the first time ever that a game ended in a tie since I started doing these picks. I didn’t know how to chalk that up, so, I decided to just call it a tie since I didn’t get the pick wrong nor got it right. If the NFL can do it, why not myself?
Here are the matchups for week eight:
Week seven record: 7-7-1 (50 percent)
2016 record: 56-50-1 (52.8 percent)
All-time record: 208-155-1 (57.3 percent)
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) at Tennessee Titans (3-4)
Line: TEN -3
I’m done picking Jacksonville. When I pick them, the Jaguars almost always let me down. If you’re not sold on that logic, I’ll mention that Tennessee is playing pretty decent right now. Marcus Mariota is one of the reasons why the Titans are playing well. In his last three games, Mariota has a completion percentage of 65.5 percent for 679 yards with eight touchdowns and only one interception. I think Tennessee takes care of business at home.
Prediction: Titans 27, Jaguars 24
Washington Redskins (4-3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (3-4)
Line: CIN -3
Washington had to travel to Detroit last week, and now the Redskins get on a long flight to London. I think they might be exhausted for this trip. I think Washington’s secondary will struggle to cover A. J. Green. I think Cincinnati gets it done across the pond.
Prediction: Bengals 24, Redskins 21
Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) at Indianapolis Colts (3-4)
Lucas Oil Stadium
Line: KC -3
I can’t get a read on Indianapolis. When I pick the Colts to win they don’t, but when I pick against them they win. I can’t figure them out. I know it’s a home game for Indianapolis but Kansas City has won 14 of its last 16 games. I think the Chiefs have a good enough defense to go on the road and slow down Andrew Luck and get a win.
Prediction: Chiefs 28, Colts 27
Oakland Raiders (5-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3)
Raymond James Stadium
Oakland is 4-0 on the road – and all four wins have come in games east of the Mississippi River. Tampa Bay is good enough to win this game, but I’m done picking against Oakland on the road this season. I think the Raiders’ defense forces Jameis Winston to make too many mistakes.
Prediction: Raiders 28, Buccaneers 24
Seattle Seahawks (4-1-1) at New Orleans Saints (2-4)
Line: SEA -2.5
This is one of the toughest games to pick this weekend because Seattle doesn’t play well on the road, but New Orleans hasn’t played well at home this season. The Saints’ offense is really good, but it’s always a tough task going against the Seahawks’ defense. New Orleans has one of the worst defenses in the league, and I think Seattle will be able to move the ball. I think a late field goal lifts Seattle over New Orleans.
Prediction: Seahawks 23, Saints 20
Detroit Lions (4-3) at Houston Texans (4-2)
Line: HOU -2.5
Brock Osweiler has been terrible in his last three games with a completion percentage of 54 percent for 584 yards and only three touchdowns and two interceptions. Detroit has quietly won three games in a row – but all three games were at home and the Lions won all of them by a combined seven points. I think the Texans will score enough to win against Detroit’s below-average defense.
Prediction: Texans 22, Lions 17
New York Jets (2-5) at Cleveland Browns (0-7)
Line: NYJ -3
The Jets have lost four out of their last five games, and Ryan Fitzpatrick has been awful in his last three road games – 53.9 completion percentage, 617 yards, one touchdown, and seven interceptions. Cleveland is a tough place to play. Call me crazy, but I’m feeling an upset. Cleveland has to win at some point, right?
Prediction: Browns 24, Jets 19
New England Patriots (6-1) at Buffalo Bills (4-3)
New Era Field
Buffalo, N. Y.
Line: NE -6
Buffalo stole a win in New England a few weeks ago against the Tom Brady-less Patriots. I don’t see that happening this time around because Brady and the Patriots are playing at a high level right now. I don’t think Tyrod Taylor and the Bills’ offense will be able to move the ball enough to win this game.
Prediction: Patriots 23, Bills 14
Arizona Cardinals (3-3-1) at Carolina Panthers (1-5)
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte, N. C.
Line: CAR -3
Carolina is in desperate need of a win. I feel pretty good that the Panthers will get one this weekend. Their backs are against the wall, they’re starting to get healthy, and they’ve had extra time to prepare. It’s a long road trip for Arizona, and West Coast teams rarely play well on the East Coast for early kickoffs.
Prediction: Panthers 31, Cardinals 24
San Diego Chargers (3-4) at Denver Broncos (4-2)
Sports Authority Field
Line: DEN -4.5
It looks like C. J. Anderson it out for the season with a knee injury, but I think that will pave the way for Devontae Booker as the starting running back in Denver. The Broncos just lost to this team a few weeks ago, but I think it’ll be a different story in Denver. I think San Diego’s offense will struggle to score on the road against the Broncos’ defense.
Prediction: Broncos 21, Chargers 16
Green Bay Packers (4-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-3)
Line: ATL -3
Green Bay has had too many injuries in the secondary, and I think the Packers will have a very difficult time covering Julio Jones. Green Bay’s offense has been struggling all season and I’m not sure it can go on the road and outscore Atlanta. Even though the Packers have had extra time to prepare, I think the Falcons win comfortably.
Prediction: Falcons 34, Packers 23
Minnesota Vikings (5-1) at Chicago Bears (1-6)
Line: MIN -5
Even though Jay Cutler has been cleared to play, it’s unclear if he will. Even if he does, I’m not sure Chicago would win this game. The Bears have had too many injuries and are one of the worst teams in the league. Minnesota had a bad game last week, and I think Vikings will bounce back Monday night.
Prediction: Vikings 27, Bears 13
Game of the week:
Philadelphia Eagles (4-2) at Dallas Cowboys (5-1)
Line: DAL -5
Philadelphia is coming off a massive win over Minnesota last week, but Dallas is playing really well right now. Ezekiel Elliott is running the ball with authority for the Cowboys, and Dak Pescott has limited turnovers – which is the main reason why Dallas has won five games in a row. The Cowboys are coming off a bye week, and I think they’ll be ready to play.
Prediction: Cowboys 30, Eagles 24
Teams with a bye:
Los Angeles Rams
New York Giants
San Francisco 49ers
Thanks for reading
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