Movie quote of the day:
“You’re my boy, Blue!”
– Frank “The Tank” Ricard, “Old School” (2003)
Here are the intriguing matchups for week six:
Week five record: 10-2 (83.3 percent)
2016 record: 46-14 (76.7 percent)
All-time record: 158-73 (68.4 percent)
Iowa (3-2) at Minnesota (3-1)
TCF Bank Stadium
Line: MINN -1.5
I think Minnesota is the most underrated team in the Big Ten. The Golden Gophers can run the ball effectively and they rank in the top 50 in the country in scoring offense. Iowa has been playing really bad in its last three games – losing to North Dakota State and Northwestern, and struggled against Rutgers. I like Minnesota to win a close one at home.
Prediction: Minnesota 20, Iowa 17
Texas (2-2) vs. No. 20 Oklahoma (2-2)
Line: OKLA -11.5
Charlie Strong is coaching for his job in this game. If Texas loses, Strong is likely out in Austin. So, I expect him to have the Longhorns prepared. Texas embarrassed Oklahoma last year, and I think the Sooners will be looking for revenge. I think Texas keeps it close, but I like Oklahoma in a shootout.
Prediction: Oklahoma 52, Texas 42
No. 25 Virginia Tech (3-1) at No. 17 North Carolina (4-1)
Chapel Hill, N. C.
Line: UNC -1.5
North Carolina is coming off a huge, emotional road win over Florida State last week. I have a feeling the Tar Heels are going to come out flat. If this game were in Blacksburg I’d probably pick an upset. However, I like Mitch Trubisky and UNC’s offense too much. I think the home crowd will be too much for the Hokies.
Prediction: North Carolina 28, Virginia Tech 24
BYU (2-3) at Michigan State (2-2)
East Lansing, Mich.
Line: MSU -5.5
Michigan State is really struggling. The Spartans just lost to Indiana and rank No. 105 in scoring offense. Michigan State’s bread and butter in recent years has been running the ball effectively and playing stout defense, and the Spartans haven’t been able to do either so far. Now, they have to face a BYU offense that has caught fire in its last two games. I don’t think Michigan State has the offensive fire power to win this game. I’m calling an upset and taking BYU.
Prediction: BYU 27, Michigan State 24
No. 21 Colorado (4-1) at USC (2-3)
Los Angeles Memorial Colisem
Line: USC -5.5
Las Vegas likes USC, but I really like Colorado. I think the Buffaloes are back to being a quality program. Colorado ranks in the top 50 in scoring offense and defense. The Buffaloes have really impressed me this season and I’m ready to jump on the bandwagon. I think Colorado is the better-coached team and Mike MacIntyre will have his team ready to play.
Prediction: Colorado 33, USC 28
No. 1 Alabama (5-0) at No. 16 Arkansas (4-1)
Line: BAMA -14
Everyone is saying that Alabama is finally going to be tested this week, but I don’t see it. I don’t think Arkansas is that good. The Razorbacks are ranked this high because they beat an overrated TCU team earlier this season. Las Vegas thinks the Crimson Tide will roll and so do I.
Prediction: Alabama 35, Arkansas 17
Texas Tech (3-1) at Kansas State (2-2)
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Line: KSU -9
Kansas State has the best defense statistically in the Big 12. The Wildcats rank No. 7 in scoring defense, and No. 4 in total defense. Texas Tech already had a tough task facing this defense, but it’ll be even tougher without quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Texas Tech doesn’t match up well for this game. The Red Raiders are abysmal on defense and they’re not a disciplined team. I don’t think Texas Tech has the right formula to go on the road and beat Kansas State.
Prediction: Kansas State 37, Texas Tech 27
No. 5 Washington at Oregon
Line: WASH -9.5
I’m all in on Washington. Chris Petersen is a great coach and he has the Huskies looking very good. Oregon’s defense is terrible – ranking No. 109 in scoring. I think Washington is too good offensively. Jake Browning looks awesome, and the Huskies have some playmakers on the perimeter. I like Washington to pull away late.
Prediction: Washington 41, Oregon 28
No. 23 Florida State (3-2) at No. 10 Miami (4-0)
Hard Rock Stadium
Line: MIA -3
I’m not sure Miami is that good, but Florida State is starting to fall apart. The Seminoles are really struggling on defense – giving up 35.4 points per game. If Florida State is going to win this game, the Seminoles will have to run the ball effectively with Dalvin Cook and keep the defense off the field. That will be difficult because Miami has a pretty good defense. I think Brad Kaaya is going to pick Florida State’s defense apart.
Prediction: Miami 34, Florida State 29
UCLA (3-2) at Arizona State (4-1)
Sun Devil Stadium
Line: UCLA -10
Despite the strong start, I thought Arizona State was overrated and it was proven last week when the Sun Devils got destroyed by a not-so-great USC team. Arizona State is terrible on defense and I think UCLA’s athletes will be too much. UCLA has been tested this season and I think the Bruins have the better coach. I like UCLA to win comfortably.
Prediction: UCLA 42, Arizona State 24
Washington State (2-2) at No. 15 Stanford (3-1)
Line: STAN -7
Stanford was flat out embarrassed last week, which is something David Shaw and Stanford aren’t used to. Stanford has had extra time to prepare for this game and I think the Cardinal will be pissed off and ready to play. I don’t think Washington State is very good and it might get ugly for the Cougars.
Prediction: Stanford 31, Washington State 20
Game of the week:
No. 9 Tennessee (5-0) at No. 8 Texas A&M (5-0)
College Station, Texas
Line: TA&M -7
I think Tennessee has had some serious luck so far this season and it’s going to run out eventually. The Volunteers struggle in pass protecting and they have a tough test facing one of the nation’s best pass rushers in this game – Myles Garrett. I think the Texas A&M’s offense and crowd will be too much, and I think Kevin Sumlin is a better coach than Butch Jones.
Prediction: Texas A&M 31, Tennessee 23
Thanks for reading
Shane Price – @priceisright53