College football week 5 picks

Movie quote of the day:

“Don’t worry, bro. Your cat is totally going to Heaven.”

– Saul Silver, “Pineapple Express” (2008)

Here are the intriguing matchups for week five:

Week four record: 10-2 (83.3 percent)
2016 record: 36-12 (75 percent)
All-time record: 146-76 (65.7 percent)

Tonight:

Washington QB Jake Browning.
Washington QB Jake Browning.

No. 7 Stanford (3-0) at No. 10 Washington (4-0)
Husky Stadium
Seattle
Line: WASH -3.5

If Stanford is going to win this game the Cardinal are going to have to throw the ball and not rely on Christian McCaffrey so much – which will be difficult because Washington ranks No. 22 in the country in pass defense. I think the Huskies are legit despite not playing anyone so far. Stanford won an emotional game on the road last week and now have to turn around and go on the road again and face a hungry team. That’s always tough to do, and I think Washington’s crowd will be tough for Stanford’s offense.

Prediction: Washington 27, Stanford 20

Saturday:

Oklahoma State QB Mason Rudolph.
Oklahoma State QB Mason Rudolph.

No. 22 Texas (2-1) at Oklahoma State (2-2)
Boone Pickens Stadium
Stillwater, Okla.
Line: OKST -2

Ready for a shootout? Because this game should have a lot of offense. If Texas can take away the deep ball and force Oklahoma State to run and make Mason Rudolph throw intermediate passes, the Longhorns have a shot. However, Texas can’t keep teams out of the end zone – surrendering 34.7 points per game. The Cowboys have the better defense and have the better coaching staff. I like Oklahoma State in a wild game.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 48, Texas 42

Georgia Tech head coach Paul Johnson.
Georgia Tech head coach Paul Johnson.

No. 14 Miami (3-0) at Georgia Tech (3-1)
Bobby Dodd Stadium
Atlanta
Line: Miami -7.5

Since Georgia Tech has a top-15 defense, I expect the Yellow Jackets to run the ball a lot and try to keep Brad Kaaya and Miami’s explosive offense off the field. Kaaya has been Miami’s starting quarterback since he was a freshman, so, I don’t think Georgia Tech’s crowd will faze him. The Hurricanes have more talent, better coaching, and a better quarterback it’s hard to pick against them.

Prediction: Miami 30, Georgia Tech 20

Georgia QB Jacob Eason.
Georgia QB Jacob Eason.

No. 11 Tennessee (4-0) at No. 25 Georgia (3-1)
Sanford Stadium
Athens, Ga.
Line: TENN -3.5

I expect the Volunteers to carry the momentum from last week’s win over Florida into this game. I think Tennessee’s defense will be too much for Georgia’s true freshman quarterback Jacob Eason. Especially since Georgia will be without star running back Nick Chubb. This is a must-win game for both teams and the winner will likely represent the East division in the SEC championship, I like the Volunteers to win by a late field goal.

Prediction: Tennessee 23, Georgia 20

Florida State DE DeMarcus Walker.
Florida State DE DeMarcus Walker.

North Carolina (3-1) at No. 12 Florida State (3-1)
Doak Campbell Stadium
Tallahassee, Fla.
Line: FSU -10.5

I like Mitch Trubisky as a quarterback, but he has never played in an environment like Doak-Campbell Stadium. The Tar Heels’ offensive line isn’t great at pass protecting and Florida State has one of the best pass rushers in the country – DeMarcus Walker. I expect that will prevent North Carolina’s offense from outscoring the Seminoles. This has potential to be a Big 12-style shootout.

Prediction: Florida State 45, North Carolina 33

Michigan TE Jake Butt.
Michigan TE Jake Butt.

No. 8 Wisconsin (4-0) at No. 4 Michigan (4-0)
Michigan Stadium
Ann Arbor, Mich.
Line: MICH -11

I’m really looking forward to this game. I want to see if Wisconsin is really this good because I think the LSU and Michigan State wins aren’t that impressive. I don’t think Wisconsin has enough talent to beat Michigan on the road. I expect Jim Harbaugh to have his team ready to play and the Wolverines to get a comfortable win.

Prediction: Michigan 34, Wisconsin 23

TCU RB Kyle Hicks.
TCU RB Kyle Hicks.

Oklahoma (1-2) at No. 21 TCU (3-1)
Amon G. Worth Stadium
Fort Worth, Texas
Line: OKLA -3.5

I know that Oklahoma is off to a bad start, but I’m not sold on TCU at all. The final scores don’t really show it, but the Horned Frogs have struggled in every game so far. Oklahoma has had an extra week to prepare and I think the Sooners are going to play with a chip on their shoulder and will want to prove that they’re still the team to beat in the Big 12. Oklahoma has a pretty good secondary and Kenny Hill can be a turnover machine.

Prediction: Oklahoma 35, TCU 30

Kansas State head coach Bill Snyder.
Kansas State head coach Bill Snyder.

Kansas State (2-1) at West Virginia (3-0)
Milan Puskar Stadium
Morgantown, W. Va.
Line: WVU -2.5

West Virginia hasn’t beat Kansas State since joining the Big 12. The Wildcats have a very good defense, but they haven’t played anyone outside of Stanford – who is a one-dimensional team. BYU has a tough defense, but WVU still managed to score 35 points on just seven possessions last week. I expect this to be a close game, but I don’t think Kansas State has the offense to outscore WVU.

Prediction: West Virginia 28, Kansas State 23

LSU DE Arden Key.
LSU DE Arden Key.

Missouri (2-2) at LSU (2-2)
Tiger Stadium
Baton Rouge, La.
Line: LSU -12

Missouri’s offense has been playing really well in recent weeks, but Drew Lock is a young quarterback and Tiger Stadium will be the toughest atmosphere he’s faced. How will LSU respond after the firing of Les Miles? Ed Orgeron is easily the best interim head coach in the country and is really good at keeping a team focused. Missouri’s offensive line hasn’t faced a pass rush like LSU’s. I think LSU wins, but Missouri will keep it within the spread.

Prediction: LSU 23, Missouri 14

USC WR Juju Smith-Schuster.
USC WR Juju Smith-Schuster.

Arizona State (4-0) at USC (1-3)
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Los Angeles
Line: USC -10.5

I really want to pick Arizona State because I think that USC is the worst-coached team in the Pac-12. However, Las Vegas really likes the Trojans to win this game which has made me reconsider Arizona State. The Sun Devils’ defense can’t stop anyone and is one of the worst in the country – ranking No. 103 in scoring. USC’s offense isn’t special, but it’s had extra time to prepare and I think the Trojans will be ready to play because of it.

Prediction: USC 31, Arizona State 23

Arizona head coach Rich Rodriguez.
Arizona head coach Rich Rodriguez.

Arizona (2-2) at UCLA (2-2)
Rose Bowl
Pasadena, Calif.
Line: UCLA -14

I’m not sure Arizona has much of a shot to win this game. The Wildcats are below average in both scoring offense and defense. I don’t see a scenario where Arizona goes into the Rose Bowl and steals a win. UCLA has a pretty good defense and I think Arizona will struggle to move the ball. The Bruins have too much talent to lose this game, and I expect them to win comfortably.

Prediction: UCLA 34, Arizona 17

Game of the week:

Louisville QB Lamar Parker.
Louisville QB Lamar Jackson.

No. 3 Louisville at No. 5 Clemson
Memorial Stadium
Clemson, S. C.
Line: LOU -1.5

Clemson has been a complete letdown and has looked unimpressive. Louisville has been the exact opposite and has looked very good and Lamar Jackson has been a force for the Cardinals. Clemson has the talent to win, but for some reason it’s not coming together. I need to see it from Clemson first in order to pick them. I think the Clemson crowd keeps it close, but I can’t bring myself to pick against Louisville right now.

Prediction: Louisville 31, Clemson 27

Thanks for reading

Shane Price
Follow me on Twitter – @priceisright53

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