NFL week 15 picks

Movie Quote of the Day:

“When you say psychosomatic, you mean like he could start a fire with his thoughts?”

– Cal Naughton Jr., Talladega Nights (2006)

Here are the matchups for week 15:

Week 14 record: 10-6 (62.5 percent)
All-time record: 121-87 (58.2 percent)


Tampa Bay head coach Lovie Smith.
Tampa Bay head coach Lovie Smith.

Tampa Bay (6-7) vs. St. Louis (5-8)
Edward Jones Dome
St. Louis, Mo.
Line: STL -2.5

Tampa Bay was sluggish last week against New Orleans in a loss; a game I expected them to win comfortably. St. Louis got a win against Detroit at home when I didn’t think they could do it. The Rams finally got Todd Gurley going last week after a month of struggles. I’m not sure the Rams can win this game. The Buccaneers have a better quarterback and a pretty good defense. St. Louis is one dimensional with Gurley. I think the Buccaneers win.

Prediction: Buccaneers 26, Rams 21


Dallas LB Sean Lee.
Dallas LB Sean Lee.

New York Jets (8-5) vs. Dallas (4-9)
AT&T Stadium
Arlington, Texas
Line: NYJ -3

The Jets stomped the Titans last week, winning their third game in a row. Dallas continues its struggles without Tony Romo. The Jets have a really good defense and I trust Ryan Fitzpatrick to make more plays than Matt Cassel. I’m going with the Jets.

Prediction: Jets 22, Cowboys 17


Minnesota QB Teddy Bridgewater.
Minnesota QB Teddy Bridgewater.

Chicago (5-8) vs. Minnesota (8-5)
TCF Bank Stadium
Minneapolis, Minn.
Line: MIN -5.5

I think Minnesota is the better team in this game. The Vikings aren’t a great team by any means, but Chicago has lost three out of its last four games. The Vikings have a tough defense and will give Jay Cutler problems. I don’t think the Bears have the defense to slow down Adrian Peterson. I think the Vikings are desperate for a win now that they’re two games behind Green Bay for the division lead. I have to pick Minnesota.

Prediction: Vikings 28, Bears 20

Atlanta QB Matt Ryan.
Atlanta QB Matt Ryan.

Atlanta (6-7) vs. Jacksonville (5-8)
EverBank Field
Jacksonville, Fla.
Line: JAC -3

Jacksonville’s record isn’t pretty, but this team has played pretty well recently. Blake Bortles has been playing at a high level. Bottles has thrown 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions in his last four games; posting an average passer rating of 106.6. Atlanta has been a train wreck in its last six games. I can’t pick the Falcons to win this game. I think the Jaguars are hungry now that they’re just one game behind for the division lead. I think Jacksonville plays well again and gets another win.

Prediction: Jaguars 30, Falcons 21

Houston WR DeAndre Hopkins.
Houston WR DeAndre Hopkins.

Houston (6-7) vs. Indianapolis (6-7)
Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis, Ind.
Line: N/A

Andrew Luck will be out again for this game for Indianapolis. Houston has now lost back-to-back games after getting above .500 three weeks ago. The Texans have Indianapolis right where they want them. This Houston defense should be licking their chops to get to face Matt Hasselbeck this week for the division lead. It’s a road game for the Texans, but I don’t trust Indianapolis to win this game.

Prediction: Texans 20, Colts 16

Carolina LB Luke Kuechly.
Carolina LB Luke Kuechly.

Carolina (13-0) vs. New York Giants (6-7)
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, N.J.
Line: CAR -5

Carolina remains undefeated and I’m giving them a ton of credit for doing that. However, everyone knows it’s difficult to go undefeated in the NFL. The Panthers will be without running back Jonathan Stewart for this game. I don’t know what it is, but I think this is where the Panthers stumble and get their first loss. I like the Giants to win.

Prediction: Giants 24, Panthers 23

New England DE Chandler Jones.
New England DE Chandler Jones.

Tennessee (3-10) vs. New England (11-2)
Gillette Stadium
Foxboro, Mass.
Line: NE -15.5

Tennessee isn’t a good team at all. New England is the clear-cut favorite to win the AFC now that Andy Dalton was injured for Cincinnati. Tennessee has a decent defense, but they’re no match for Tom Brady and the Patriots. I think the Patriots win easily.

Prediction: Patriots 37, Titans 17

Buffalo LB Preston Brown.
Buffalo LB Preston Brown.

Buffalo (6-7) vs. Washington (6-7)
FedEx Field
Landover, Md.
Line: Even

This game features two teams that are similar. Buffalo has the better roster between the two. However, I think Washington has a better quarterback and head coach than the Bills. The Redskins also have home-field advantage for this game. I think the Redskins win this game in a close one.

Prediction: Redskins 26, Bills 23

Kansas City WR Jeremy Maclin.
Kansas City WR Jeremy Maclin.

Kansas City (8-5) vs. Baltimore (4-9)
M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore, Md.
Line: KC -7.5

This is a long road trip for Kansas City. I don’t think Baltimore is a serious threat to snap Kansas City’s seven-game win streak. The Chiefs are the better team in this game. Baltimore has had too many injuries this season. I think the Chiefs win, but I think the Ravens will keep it close.

Prediction: Chiefs 21, Ravens 17

Oakland LB Khalil Mack.
Oakland LB Khalil Mack.

Green Bay (9-4) vs. Oakland (6-7) Coliseum
Oakland, Calif.
Line: GB -3

As a Green Bay fan, I’m a little worried about this game. Oakland is a young team that’s trending in the right direction. Mike McCarthy going back to calling plays for Green Bay is the best that could’ve happened for the Packers. I’m not willing to say that Green Bay is “back” but I think they’re starting to get the pieces together. I think the Packers win, but it’ll be a dogfight.

Prediction: Packers 27, Raiders 24

Cleveland QB Johnny Manziel.
Cleveland QB Johnny Manziel.

Cleveland (3-10) vs. Seattle (8-5)
CenturyLink Field
Seattle, Wash.
Line: SEA -16

Seattle has been playing like a Super Bowl contender in its last four games. The Seahawks have won all four of those games and Russell Wilson has been en fuego. Wilson has thrown 16 touchdowns and zero interceptions in those games. Seattle is probably the hottest team and Cleveland is the worst team in the NFL. Seattle will win this game with ease.

Prediction: Seahawks 34, Browns 10

Miami WR Jarvis Landry.
Miami WR Jarvis Landry.

Miami (5-8) vs. San Diego (3-10)
Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego, Calif.
Line: SD -1

San Diego is one of the worst teams in the league. The Chargers don’t have much else on their team other than Philip Rivers. Miami isn’t much better, but they have a better roster. This is a long road trip for Miami, but a late kickoff helps the Dolphins. I think Miami finds a way to win this game.

Prediction: Dolphins 24, Chargers 20

San Francisco LB Navorro Bowman.
San Francisco LB Navorro Bowman.

Cincinnati (10-3) vs. San Francisco (4-9)
Levi’s Stadium
Santa Clara, Calif.
Line: CIN -4.5

Andy Dalton is likely done for the regular season for Cincinnati. A.J. McCarron was’t awful last week when he came in for Dalton. Blaine Gabbert hasn’t been terrible for San Francisco either. However, Cincinnati has the better roster. I think the Bengals get it done on the road, but I won’t be surprised if the 49ers give them problems.

Prediction: Bengals 24, 49ers 19

Arizona WR Larry Fitzgerald.
Arizona WR Larry Fitzgerald.

Arizona (11-2) vs. Philadelphia (6-7)
Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, Pa.
Line: ARI -3.5

Statistically, Arizona has the best offense in the NFL. Bruce Arians is one of the best offensive minds. Philadelphia doesn’t have a great defense. Most of Philadelphia’s struggles come in the secondary. Arizona has a great receiving corps and Carson Palmer is a MVP candidate, I think Cardinals will have a field day facing the Eagles’ secondary. I think the Eagles will keep this game close, but I think the Cardinals will pull away in the second half.

Prediction: Cardinals 34, Eagles 24


Detroit DE Ziggy Ansah.
Detroit DE Ziggy Ansah.

Detroit (4-9) vs. New Orleans (5-8)
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, La.
Line: NO -3

I can’t remember a Monday Night Football game that I wasn’t looking forward to as much as this one. This has to be difficult for ESPN to promote. New Orleans has a terrible defense, but the Superdome is one of the toughest places to play in the NFL. Detroit just got beat by a mediocre St. Louis team on the road last week. I think the Saints win.

Prediction: Saints 31, Lions 27

Game of the Week:

Denver WR Demaryius Thomas.
Denver WR Demaryius Thomas.

Denver (10-3) vs. Pittsburgh (8-5)
Heinz Field
Pittsburgh, Pa.
Line: PIT -7

I’m really looking forward to this game. Pittsburgh has one of the best offenses and Denver has the best defense in the league. This will be Brock Osweiler’s toughest test as quarterback. He hasn’t faced a team like Pittsburgh on the road. The Steelers are playing very well and have won four out of their last five games. The Steelers have to be fired up for this game because Andy Dalton is out for Cincinnati and that leaves Pittsburgh with a chance to take the division. I can’t pick against the Steelers.

Prediction: Steelers 26, Broncos 19

Thanks for reading

Shane Price
Follow me on Twitter – @priceisright53


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