NFL week 13 picks

Movie Quote of the Day:

“I’m very important. I have many leather-bound books and my apartment smells of rich mahogany.”

– Ron Burgundy, Anchorman (2004)

Here are the matchups for week 13:

Week 12 record: 9-7 (56.2 percent)
All-time record: 100-76 (56.8 percent)

Tonight:

Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers.
Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers.

Green Bay (7-4) vs. Detroit (4-7)
Ford Field
Detroit, Mich.
Line: GB -3

These two teams have switched roles in the last month. After starting the season 6-0, Green Bay has dropped four of its last five games. Detroit is the opposite, winning three straight games. I thought the Packers got back on track after the road win against Minnesota two weeks ago. It’s hard to trust Green Bay right now, but the last time this team had their backs against the wall they answered by manhandling the Vikings on the road. I expect a similar response and the Packers get it done.

Prediction: Packers 31, Lions 24

Sunday:

New York Jets WR Eric Decker.
New York Jets WR Eric Decker.

New York Jets (6-5) vs. New York Giants (5-6)
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, N.J.
Line: NYJ -1

Both of these teams have slipped recently. They’ve both lost four of their last six games. This game is technically a home game for the Giants, but it’s a home game for both teams since they both play in MetLife Stadium. I expect the Giants to be prepared for this game since they gave up the NFC East division lead last week. The Giants have the better quarterback, too. I’m taking the Giants.

Prediction: Giants 23, Jets 20

Arizona CB Patrick Peterson.
Arizona CB Patrick Peterson.

Arizona (9-2) vs. St. Louis (4-7)
Edward Jones Dome
St. Louis, Mo.
Line: ARI -7

Arizona looks like one of the best teams in the NFL, definitely in the NFC. St. Louis has fallen apart recently, losing four straight games. The Rams have struggled getting Todd Gurley going in the run game, and the quarterback play has been abysmal. The Cardinals are the much better team at the moment. They have the better coach, better quarterback, and better roster. I think the Cardinals win.

Prediction: Cardinals 30, Rams 20

Atlanta WR Julio Jones.
Atlanta WR Julio Jones.

Atlanta (6-5) vs. Tampa Bay (5-6)
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, Fla.
Line: Even

Atlanta continues to struggle. The Falcons are 1-5 in their last six games. Tampa Bay suffered a loss last week to Indianapolis. The Buccaneers had played pretty well prior to the game in Indianapolis. Both teams are fighting for a playoff spot. Tampa Bay is the better team right now, and the game is a home game for them. I think Tampa Bay wins this one.

Prediction: Buccaneers 26, Falcons 21

Seattle RB Thomas Rawls.
Seattle RB Thomas Rawls.

Seattle (6-5) vs. Minnesota (8-3)
TCF Bank Stadium
Minneapolis, Minn.
Line: Even

Seattle seems to have found its groove offensively. Running back Thomas Rawls has been a monster as the replacement for Marshawn Lynch this season. However, the Seahawks just lost tight end Jimmy Graham for the season last week. Minnesota has pretty good defense, but I don’t trust Teddy Bridgewater to make enough plays against Seattle’s defense. This game is a coin flip and I have a feeling Seattle wins this game.

Prediction: Seahawks 24, Vikings 21

Buffalo WR Sammy Watkins.
Buffalo WR Sammy Watkins.

Houston (6-5) vs. Buffalo (5-6)
Ralph Wilson Stadium
Buffalo, N.Y.
Line: BUF -3

These teams are very similar. Both have great defenses, and lack quarterbacks. I think Bill O’Brien is the better coach in this matchup (I’ve never been a fan of Rex Ryan). The Bills have the better quarterback and home-field advantage in this game. Buffalo’s offensive line is one of the worst in the league and Houston’s defense has been playing lights out (allowing only 35 points in its last four games). I think the Texans extend their winning streak.

Prediction: Texans 17, Bills 10

Miami tight end Jordan Cameron.
Miami TE Jordan Cameron.

Baltimore (4-7) vs. Miami (4-7)
Sun Life Stadium
Miami, Fla.
Line: MIA -4

Baltimore has had a ton of injuries this season. The Ravens are playing much better and have won three out of their last four games. Miami has lost four of their last five games. John Harbaugh knows how to get his team ready to play for road games. However, Miami has the better quarterback with Ryan Tannehill. I trust Tannehill to make more plays than Matt Schaub. Against my better judgment, I’m picking the Dolphins.

Prediction: Dolphins 28, Ravens 23

Cleveland QB Austin Davis.
Cleveland QB Austin Davis.

Cincinnati (9-2) vs. Cleveland (2-9)
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland, Ohio
Line: CIN -10.5

The only advantage Cleveland has in this game is home-field advantage. Cincinnati is the better team in every aspect of this game. The Bengals have the better coach, roster, and quarterback. Austin Davis was announced as the quarterback for Cleveland this week. I think he’s going to struggle against Cincinnati’s defense. I can’t pick against the Bengals.

Prediction: Bengals 31, Browns 13

Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota.
Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota.

Jacksonville (4-7) vs. Tennessee (2-9)
Nissan Stadium
Nashville, Tenn.
Line: TEN -2.5

Jacksonville suffered a bad loss to San Diego at home last week. Tennessee has been one of the worst teams in the league. This game is another coin flip to me. Tennessee has a top 10 defense in the league. Marcus Mariota has looked like he’s going to be a pretty good NFL quarterback. I’ll take the Titans because of home-field advantage.

Prediction: Titans 19, Jaguars 16

San Francisco LB Ahmad Brooks.
San Francisco LB Ahmad Brooks.

San Francisco (3-8) vs. Chicago (5-6)
Soldier Field
Chicago, Ill.
Line: CHI -8

San Francisco is in tank mode for the rest of the season. Chicago has been playing much better in the last month, especially last week when they defeated Green Bay on Thanksgiving night. The Bears are the better team than the 49ers. I don’t see Blaine Gabbert going into Chicago and getting a win. I’m picking the Bears.

Prediction: Bears 27, 49ers 19

Denver QB Brock Osweiler.
Denver QB Brock Osweiler.

Denver (9-2) vs. San Diego (3-8)
Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego, Calif.
Line: DEN -4

Denver had the best win of last week in an overtime win against then undefeated New England. The Broncos are going with Brock Osweiler at quarterback for another week (and he deserves it). Philip Rivers doesn’t have many weapons to throw to in San Diego and Denver has one of the best secondaries in the NFL. I think Denver wins, but it’ll be a dogfight.

Prediction: Broncos 23, Chargers 14

Oakland LB Khalil Mack.
Oakland LB Khalil Mack.

Kansas City (6-5) vs. Oakland (5-6)
O.co Coliseum
Oakland, Calif.
Line: KC -2.5

This game is a tough one to pick. I think Oakland is a decent team, but Kansas City has won five straight games. I think both teams are well coached. I think Oakland has the edge at quarterback and have home-field advantage. I can’t pick against the Chiefs. They’ve been the better team recently.

Prediction: Chiefs 20, Raiders 19

Carolina QB Cam Newton.
Carolina QB Cam Newton.

Carolina (11-0) vs. New Orleans (4-7)
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, La.
Line: CAR -7.5

I expect the Superdome to have an electric atmosphere for this game. Opponents always have to be at their best when going into New Orleans. Cam Newton has been playing at an MVP level all season and New Orleans has one of the worst defenses in the league. It’s hard to pick against the Panthers right now.

Prediction: Panthers 34, Saints 24

Philadelphia CB Byron Maxwell.
Philadelphia CB Byron Maxwell.

Philadelphia (4-7) vs. New England (10-1)
Gillette Stadium
Foxboro, Mass.
Line: NE -11

Philadelphia has fallen apart. The Eagles have lost four of their last five games, and have been outscored 90-31 in the previous two games. New England will be the angriest team in the league going into this game. The Patriots feel like the officiating in their game against Denver last week screwed them as they suffered their first loss. I think New England wins big.

Prediction: Patriots 38, Eagles 14

Monday:

Washington WR DeSean Jackson.
Washington WR DeSean Jackson.

Dallas (3-8) vs. Washington (5-6)
FedEx Field
Landover, Md.
Line: WAS -4.5

Dallas will be back in action without Tony Romo since the quarterback broke his collarbone again last week. Washington took control of the NFC East last week in a win against the Giants. I expect the Redskins to be licking their chops to face a Dallas team without Romo with a win getting them to .500. I think the Redskins win.

Prediction: Redskins 24, Cowboys 20

Game of the Week:

Indianapolis QB Matt Hasselbeck.
Indianapolis QB Matt Hasselbeck.

Indianapolis (6-5) vs. Pittsburgh (6-5)
Heinz Field
Pittsburgh, Pa.
Line: PIT -6

Indianapolis is undefeated with Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback, but he hasn’t faced a team as good as Pittsburgh. The Steelers suffered a tough loss to Seattle last week. Ben Roethlisberger suffered a concussion in that game but he’s expected to play in this game. I think the Colts’ defense is going to struggle trying to stop Pittsburgh’s offense. I think this is game is when Hasselbeck will suffer his first loss.

Prediction: Steelers 34, Colts 23

Thanks for reading

Shane Price
Follow me on Twitter – @priceisright53

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