College football week 12 picks

Movie Quote of the Day:

“You are a sad and strange little man. You have my pity. Farewell.”

– Buzz Lightyear, Toy Story (1995)

Here are the intriguing matchups for week 12:

Week 11 record: 5-7 (41.7%)
All-time record: 90-42 (68.2%)


Memphis head coach Justin Fuente.
Memphis head coach Justin Fuente.

No. 21 Memphis (8-2) vs. Temple (8-2)
Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, Pa.
Line: MEM -1.5

I think the real Temple team finally revealed itself last week. The Owls lost by three touchdowns to a 7-4 South Florida team. I never thought Temple was the real deal, but I think Memphis is. The Tigers have a good coach and he’ll probably be linked to every job opening during the offseason. I think Memphis wins in a close one.

Prediction: Memphis 31, Temple 28

Virginia Tech head coach Frank Beamer.
Virginia Tech head coach Frank Beamer.

No. 17 North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech (5-5)
Lane Stadium
Blacksburg, Va.
Line: UNC -5

It’s Frank Beamer’s last game at Lane Stadium. I expect Virginia Tech to be excited to play this game for Beamer. The stadium should be electric. I think that will benefit Virginia Tech at the beginning of the game. However, the Hokies don’t have the talent on offense to keep up with North Carolina. I think the Tar Heels pull away in the second half.

Prediction: North Carolina 27, Virginia Tech 21

Michigan running back De'Veon Smith.
Michigan running back De’Veon Smith.

No. 12 Michigan (8-2) vs. Penn State (7-3)
Beaver Stadium
University Park, Pa.
Line: MICH -3.5

I think this will be a classic Big Ten dogfight. I think Beaver Stadium will be an exciting atmosphere. Michigan has a stellar defense; I don’t think Penn State’s offensive line will be able to protect Christian Hackenberg long enough for him to make plays to win this game. I think Michigan squeaks out a win.

Prediction: Michigan 24, Penn State 23

LSU running back Leonard Fournette.
LSU running back Leonard Fournette.

No. 15 LSU (7-2) vs. No. 22 Ole Miss (7-3)
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Oxford, Miss.
Line: MISS -6.5

I’ve been high on Ole Miss all season. The Rebels can score points, but their defense has slowed them down at times this season. I think LSU is a talented team, but they’re one-dimensional. The Tigers can’t throw the ball to save their lives. If the game was in Baton Rouge I’d think different about this game, but it’s not. I think Ole Miss wins.

Prediction: Ole Miss 24, LSU 20

Oregon quarterback Vernon Adams.
Oregon quarterback Vernon Adams.

No. 24 USC (7-3) vs. No. 23 Oregon (7-3)
Autzen Stadium
Eugene, Ore.
Line: ORE -4.5

Both of these teams have been playing well in recent weeks after sluggish starts to the season. Oregon played well last week against Stanford and looked like the team fans expected in the preseason. Both of these offenses can score points in a hurry. Autzen Stadium is usually a tough place to play. I can’t pick against the home team.

Prediction: Oregon 42, USC 35

Utah head coach Kyle Wittingham.
Utah head coach Kyle Wittingham.

UCLA (7-3) vs. No. 13 Utah (8-2)
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Salt Lake City, Utah
Line: Utah -2.5

Both of these teams lost close games last week. Rice-Eccles Stadium has been a tough place to play for PAC-12 teams in the last few seasons. Utah will likely be without star running back Devontae Booker for the rest of the season. I think it’ll be too tough for Utah to win this game without Booker. I’m going with UCLA.

Prediction: UCLA 34, Utah 24

Northwestern running back Justin Jackson.
Northwestern running back Justin Jackson.

No. 20 Northwestern (8-2) vs. No. 25 Wisconsin (8-2)
Camp Randall Stadium
Madison, Wisc.
Line: WIS -10

Wisconsin’s record is impressive, but I think they’re overrated. The Big Ten West is a terrible division (hence why Iowa is undefeated). I realize that the Badgers have won five straight games, but the combined record of the teams they beat during that stretch is 17-34. Madison can be a tough environment but I think Northwestern is the much better team.

Prediction: Northwestern 22, Wisconsin 17

Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott.
Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott.

Mississippi State (7-3) vs. Arkansas (6-4)
Razorback Stadium
Fayetteville, Ark.
Line: ARK -4.5

Mississippi State was grounded last week by Alabama after having a four-game win streak. Arkansas continues a strong push after knocking off Ole Miss and LSU in back-to-back weeks. After a 1-3 start, the Razorbacks have now won five of their last six games. It’s hard to pick against Arkansas right now.

Prediction: Arkansas 35, Mississippi State 30

Oklahoma State quarterback Mason Rudolph.
Oklahoma State quarterback Mason Rudolph.

No. 10 Baylor (8-1) vs. No. 6 Oklahoma State (10-0)
Boone Pickens Stadium
Stillwater, Okla.
Line: Even

I’m really looking forward to this game. Oklahoma State barely came out of Ames, Iowa with a win last week. I don’t think people should judge the Cowboys based off that game. Oklahoma State can play with anyone in the country and are well coached. I think the Oklahoma State’s pass rush will be too much for Baylor’s freshman quarterback. I think the Cowboys continue to prove everyone wrong.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 45, Baylor 38

TCU QB Trevone Boykin.
TCU quarterback Trevone Boykin.

No. 18 TCU (9-1) vs. No. 7 Oklahoma (9-1)
Memorial Stadium
Norman, Okla.
Line: OKLA -10

It’s unknown if Trevone Boykin will be playing for TCU for this game, but it was announced wide receiver Josh Doctson was out for the rest of the season. Oklahoma is the healthier team and is playing at a high level. I can’t see TCU going into Norman with a banged up quarterback and outplaying the Sooners.

Prediction: Oklahoma 45, TCU 31

Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan.
Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan.

Cal (6-4) vs. No. 11 Stanford (8-2)
Stanford Stadium
Stanford, Calif.
Line: STAN -11

Cal snapped a four-game losing streak last week with a win over Oregon State. Stanford was upset by Oregon at home. Cal has the capability to score enough points to stay in the game, but I expect Stanford to be able to run the ball effectively and keep Jared Goff off the field. I think Stanford will pull away in the second half and get the win.

Prediction: Stanford 42, Cal 28

Game of the Week:

Ohio State running back Ezekiel Elliott.
Ohio State running back Ezekiel Elliott.

No. 9 Michigan State (9-1) vs. No. 3 Ohio State (10-0)
Ohio Stadium
Columbus, Ohio
Line: OSU -13.5

This should be another great game in the Big Ten. I think the spread for this game is a little crazy. I realize that Michigan State hasn’t been an impressive team and the game is in Columbus, but Ohio State hasn’t been impressive either. The Buckeyes have been up and down at quarterback all season. The Spartans will give Ohio State a close game despite what the spread says. I really want to pick Michigan State, but I think the Buckeyes will play well and get it done.

Prediction: Ohio State 27, Michigan State 24

Thanks for reading

Shane Price
Follow me on Twitter – @priceisright53


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