Movie Quote of the Post:
“Being perfect is when you can look someone in the eye and know that you didn’t let them down.”
– Gary Gaines, Friday Night Lights (2004)
I had another pretty good record in my predictions last week, finishing 10-4. How about that Monday night game? I didn’t expect Pittsburgh to pull of the win after traveling across the country. Cincinnati continues to impress me. Past Cincinnati teams would’ve just rolled over after Seattle went up 24-3. Kansas City is disappointing me, especially after the home loss to Chicago last week. It surprised me, Arrowhead Stadium is one of the toughest places to play in the NFL. I expected the Chiefs to get an easy win.
Here are the match-ups for week six:
Week 5 Record: 10-4 (71.4%)
Overall Record: 45-32 (58.4%)
Teams with a bye:
St. Louis (2-3)
Tampa Bay (2-3)
Atlanta (5-0) vs. New Orleans (1-4)
New Orleans, La.
Line: ATL -3.5
Atlanta keeps winning, and New Orleans continues to struggle. It’s hard not to pick the Falcons. They’ve been playing great football so far. I know the Saints have had issues, but they still have Drew Brees and Sean Payton. Statistically, the Falcons can’t keep winning and New Orleans is a tough place to play. I think New Orleans gets the win.
Prediction: Saints 27, Falcons 24
Washington (2-3) vs. New York Jets (3-1)
East Rutherford, N.J.
Line: NYJ -7
Both of these teams have surprised me and are better than I expected. I think the Jets are the better team personnel-wise. They have the better roster, better quarterback, and better head coach. Road games are tough in the NFL and I’m not sure Kirk Cousins can handle New York’s stout defense. I think the Jets win.
Prediction: Jets 28, Redskins 21
Arizona (4-1) vs. Pittsburgh (3-2)
Line: ARI -3.5
Arizona has looked like the best team in the NFL at times this season. Pittsburgh is coming off a good road win against San Diego. Ben Roethlisberger was rumored to try to come back from his injury for this game. I’m not sure that will happen, and I doubt Pittsburgh will try to rush their franchise quarterback on the field. Arizona has a great team, and Pittsburgh won’t win without Roethlisberger.
Prediction: Cardinals 30, Steelers 23
Kansas City (1-4) vs. Minnesota (2-2)
TCF Bank Stadium
Line: MIN -4
Like I’ve said above, Kansas City has been a disappointment. Minnesota has been up and down this season. The Chiefs lost running back Jamaal Charles for the season last week. With that injury, it’ll be difficult for Kansas City to win games. Minnesota has a decent roster and head coach. I think the Vikings get it done at home.
Prediction: Vikings 24, Chiefs 19
Cincinnati (5-0) vs. Buffalo (3-2)
Ralph Wilson Stadium
Line: CIN -3
Cincinnati looks more and more like a serious contender. Buffalo has been up and down so far. The Bengals keep winning, but I think this will be a bump in the road for them. Andy Dalton has been great, but I wonder if he can play well against Buffalo’s defense. I think Buffalo will be ready to play. I like the Bills to win.
Prediction: Bills 27, Bengals 23
Chicago (2-3) vs. Detroit (0-5)
Line: DET -3
Chicago got a nice road win against Kansas City last week. Detroit continues to struggle, they even benched Matt Stafford for Dan Orlovsky. That never is a good recipe for the rest of the season. Statistically speaking, Detroit can’t keep losing games. They have too much talent. I think Detroit gets their first win of the season.
Prediction: Lions 26, Bears 21
Denver (5-0) vs. Cleveland (2-3)
Line: DEN -4
Denver is still the most unimpressive undefeated team in the NFL. Cleveland isn’t an awful team. This will be a true test for Peyton Manning and the Broncos. I want to pick the Browns to win, but I’m not sure they have the offense to score points against Denver’s defense. I’m taking the Broncos to win a close game.
Prediction: Broncos 22, Browns 17
Houston (1-4) vs. Jacksonville (1-4)
Both of these are toward the bottom of the NFL totem pole. I think Houston has the better roster minus quarterback. Jacksonville does have the better quarterback. It’s tough to win on the road in the NFL. This is a division game and I expect the Jaguars to play well at home. I think Jacksonville gets the win.
Prediction: Jaguars 20, Texans 17
Miami (1-3) vs. Tennessee (1-3)
Line: TEN -1
Until I see otherwise, I don’t think there’s any way Miami can can survive their sinking ship. I expect Tennessee to play angry after letting one slip last week against Buffalo. I think the Titans get the win.
Prediction: Titans 27, Dolphins 17
Carolina (4-0) vs. Seattle (2-3)
Line: SEA -7.5
Carolina is another undefeated team that hasn’t impressed because they have yet to play a team with a decent quarterback. Seattle’s offense has been struggling and I think Carolina’s pass rush will have a field day getting after Russell Wilson. However, I still think Seattle finds a way to win at home.
Prediction: Seahawks 24, Panthers 20
Baltimore (1-4) vs. San Francisco (1-4)
San Francisco, Calif.
Line: BAL -1
I’m getting close to getting off Baltimore’s bandwagon. This team doesn’t look good. However, San Francisco looks worse than the Ravens. I know I said Baltimore doesn’t look good, but the 49ers are awful. I think the Ravens manage to win the game.
Prediction: Ravens 21, 49ers 17
San Diego (2-3) vs. Green Bay (5-0)
Green Bay, Wisc.
Line: GB -11.5
San Diego lost a heart-breaking game to Pittsburgh on Monday. Aaron Rodgers had a rare bad home game. That’s unlikely to happen two weeks in a row. The Chargers’ defense isn’t great. I think the Packers win comfortably.
Prediction: Packers 33, Chargers 17
New York Giants (3-2) vs. Philadelphia (2-3)
Lincoln Financial Field
Line: PHI -4
The Giants have worked their way into first place in the NFC East division. The Eagles got a win against New Orleans last week. Philadelphia is slowly starting to fix their kinks. I’ve said it the last few weeks, but I think the Eagles are close to figuring it out. I think this will be a good game. I think Philadelphia wins.
Prediction: Eagles 26, Giants 23
Game of the Week:
New England (4-0) vs. Indianapolis (3-2)
Lucas Oil Stadium
Line: NE -10.5
New England had been on a roll all season. Tom Brady has been playing lights out. Indianapolis is on a three game win streak after starting the season 0-2. I think this game will have a different outcome if Andrew Luck plays. However, the Colts don’t match up well and I think the Patriots will win.
Prediction: Patriots 30, Colts 17
Thanks for reading
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