NFL Stocks: Buy or Sell at the Season’s Quarter

Movie Quote of the Day:

“I knew a man that once said ‘death smiles at us all, all a man can do it smile back.’”

– Maximus, Gladiator (2000)

We’re at the quarter point of the NFL season, and there are a lot of teams on the bubble. My goal for this is to give my own opinion of which bubble teams to “buy” stock in, and which ones to “sell.” I’m not going to give buy or sell for teams like New England, Green Bay, Seattle, Arizona, Cincinnati, and the other teams who are of to great starts this season. Those are the better teams in the NFL. My plan is to do this every four weeks during the NFL regular season. Here’s my list of bubble teams to keep an eye on:

AFC:

Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco.
Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco.

Baltimore Ravens (1-3) – Buy

The Ravens are a good team. They have a great roster and a great head coach. They’ve struggled in their first four games, but three of those games were on the road. Two of those road trips were on the west coast against Denver and Oakland. They lost a home game to Cincinnati, who is undefeated and they look like one of the best teams in the league. Their schedule is about to get more manageable. In the next 12 games, the Ravens have five road games against teams with overall records of 10-10. They have seven home games remaining, the overall record of the teams they play at home is 11-17. I thought the Ravens would struggle in the beginning of the season, but I thought they’d have a late surge.

Kansas City running back Jamaal Charles.
Kansas City running back Jamaal Charles.

Kansas City Chiefs (1-3) – Buy

Kansas City is in a similar boat as Baltimore. They have a good roster and they have a great coach. Their schedule hasn’t been kind to them to start the season. However, same as Baltimore, in their remaining 12 games they have seven home games. In those seven home games, the combined record of the teams they play is currently 10-18. Their road games won’t be easy, but it’s manageable. The overall record of the remaining teams they play on the road is 11-9. Like with Baltimore, I expect a late surge from the Chiefs.

Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill.
Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill.

Miami Dolphins (1-3) – Sell

Sell as much this team’s stock as fast you can. I was so high on this team prior to the season. I knew that if this team wasn’t successful it was because of coaching. They’ve looked terrible so far this season, and their coach just got fired. It doesn’t look good for the Dolphins. Their schedule isn’t easy. They still have six road games against teams with a combined record of 12-10 (including undefeated New England twice). I think this team is done.

Oakland quarterback Derek Carr.
Oakland quarterback Derek Carr.

Oakland Raiders (2-2) – Sell

This team looks a lot better than in previous seasons. They have some young talent to build around, but they’re not there yet. Their schedule isn’t easy. They have six road games left. Their remaining home schedule is brutal. The combined record of the teams they’re about to play at home is 16-8. Including games against undefeated Denver and Green Bay. There’s potential for a bright future in Oakland, but I don’t think this team is going anywhere this season.

NFC:

Detroit quarterback Matt Stafford.
Detroit quarterback Matt Stafford.

Detroit Lions (0-4) – Sell

This is another team that has looked awful. I’ll cut them some slack, they’ve played some good teams early in the season and have played three road games so far. Their upcoming schedule is manageable. They play six teams with losing records in these final 12 games. However, this team doesn’t look like they’re going anywhere and they don’t look like they’re buying into the head coach.

New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning.
New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning.

New York Giants (2-2) – Buy

The Giants have a decent roster and are well coached. They also have a good quarterback and they play in a weak division. They have six road games remaining on the schedule, but no one they play on the road currently has a winning record (8-16 combined record). Their home schedule is tougher, they’ll face three teams who currently have winning records at home. Don’t sleep on the Giants, especially with the NFC East being a dumpster fire.

Philadelphia head coach Chip Kelly.
Philadelphia head coach Chip Kelly.

Philadelphia Eagles (1-3) – Buy

The Eagles have not looked good to say the least. Everyone is jumping off the Chip Kelly bandwagon, I’m not. If there’s any coach in the NFL that will find ways to score points, it’s Kelly. The Eagles have five road games remaining on their schedule, just two of those teams have winning records. As for their home schedule, they will face only one team who currently has a winning record. Don’t sleep on the Eagles, I don’t think they’re far from getting it right.

San Francisco quarterback Colin Kaepernick.
San Francisco quarterback Colin Kaepernick.

San Francisco 49ers (1-3) – Sell

Like with Miami, sell whatever stock you have in the 49ers immediately. Colin Kaepernick has been absolutely abysmal the last few games. Head coach Jim Tomsula doesn’t look like he has any control over the locker room. Their schedule doesn’t get easier either. They have six road games remaining. They also have some really good teams to play at home, and they’re in a tough division. The 49ers are done, I think they need to prepare to have one of the top picks in the draft.

Thanks for reading

Shane Price
Follow me on Twitter – @priceisright53

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